Safety and specialty services provider APi (NYSE: APG) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q1 CY2025, with sales up 7.4% year on year to $1.72 billion. The company’s full-year revenue guidance of $7.5 billion at the midpoint came in 1.5% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.37 per share was 2.9% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
Is now the time to buy APG? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
APi (APG) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $1.72 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.64 billion (7.4% year-on-year growth, 4.7% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.37 vs analyst estimates of $0.36 (2.9% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $193 million vs analyst estimates of $190.5 million (11.2% margin, 1.3% beat)
- The company lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $7.5 billion at the midpoint from $7.4 billion, a 1.4% increase
- EBITDA guidance for the full year is $1.01 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $987.7 million
- Operating Margin: 4.9%, down from 6.2% in the same quarter last year
- Free Cash Flow was $50 million, up from -$15 million in the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 1.9% year on year (-1.4% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $12.16 billion
StockStory’s Take
APi’s first quarter results were driven by a return to organic revenue growth, particularly within its Safety Services segment, and continued margin expansion initiatives. CEO Russ Becker highlighted that inspection, service, and monitoring revenues in North America grew at a double-digit pace for the 19th consecutive quarter, reflecting the company’s ongoing focus on recurring, statutorily mandated services. The company also benefited from proactive measures to mitigate tariff-related cost increases and disciplined customer selection, which offset softness in its Specialty Services segment caused by adverse weather and project delays.
Looking ahead, management lifted its full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance, citing backlog growth and a resilient end-market mix as key drivers. Becker stated that APi’s backlog stands at approximately $3.5 billion, providing visibility into future growth. The company’s updated guidance incorporates expectations for continued organic revenue gains, further progress in margin expansion, and the ability to pass on cost increases from tariffs. Management remains focused on strategic capital allocation, balancing bolt-on M&A opportunities with share repurchases, and investing in systems and technology upgrades to support long-term scale.
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
APi’s leadership attributed first quarter performance to recurring revenue mix improvements, effective margin initiatives, and proactive tariff management. Management also outlined capital allocation priorities and expansion strategies poised to influence future results.
-
Recurring Revenue Focus: Inspection, service, and monitoring in the Safety Services segment drove organic growth, with North America seeing double-digit inspection revenue increases for the 19th quarter in a row. Management reiterated its goal to have 60% of total net revenues from these recurring sources, which are less sensitive to economic cycles.
-
Margin Expansion Initiatives: The company continued to prioritize disciplined customer and project selection, pricing improvements, and integration value capture (notably from the Chubb acquisition). These efforts supported adjusted gross margin gains despite wage inflation and material cost pressures.
-
Tariff Mitigation Measures: Management described how contractual provisions and real-time sourcing allow the business to pass through most tariff-driven material cost increases, particularly in project work. Only about 15% of revenues are directly exposed to tariffs, and leaders have not seen significant project delays as a result.
-
Specialty Services Recovery: Adverse weather weighed on Specialty Services revenues, but the segment’s backlog grew 7% organically. Management expects organic growth to resume in the second quarter, supported by new project wins and backlog execution.
-
Capital Allocation Strategy: Free cash flow improvements enabled $75 million of share repurchases in the quarter and the authorization of a new $1 billion buyback program. Management emphasized a continued preference for bolt-on M&A, with targeted expansion into the elevator service market and ongoing integration of recent acquisitions.
Drivers of Future Performance
APi’s outlook for the year centers on backlog visibility, recurring revenue growth, and disciplined execution as the main themes shaping guidance for revenue and margins.
-
Backlog-Driven Growth: Management cited a $3.5 billion backlog and expanding project pipeline as underpinning organic revenue growth, particularly in Safety Services and international markets.
-
Recurring Revenue Resilience: The company’s emphasis on statutorily mandated inspection and monitoring services is expected to provide stability, helping to offset any volatility in discretionary project work.
-
Tariff and Cost Management Risks: While most tariff-driven cost increases can be passed to customers, management acknowledged ongoing risks from material price fluctuations and macroeconomic uncertainty that could affect project timing and margins.
Top Analyst Questions
-
Andy Kaplowitz (Citigroup): Asked about backlog growth and the impact of tariffs; management confirmed backlog rose to $3.5 billion and stated most tariff costs are passed to customers, with minimal volume impact seen so far.
-
Tim Mulrooney (William Blair): Inquired about the drivers behind stronger-than-expected organic growth; CFO David Jackola explained that pulling forward materials ahead of tariff increases was the main factor for the upside.
-
Jasper Bibb (Truist Securities): Queried about tariff exposure and cost trends; management estimated 15% of revenues are exposed and noted recent moderation in hot-rolled coil prices, with risk mitigation steps in place.
-
Andy Wittmann (Baird): Sought insight on international organic growth and weather impacts; leadership reported international growth met expectations and estimated weather cost the Specialty segment about five days of lost work.
-
Stephanie Moore (Jefferies): Asked about margin expansion drivers and sensitivities; management highlighted mix shift toward recurring revenue, pricing discipline, and ongoing Chubb integration as key factors, with margin improvement expected to continue barring major demand shifts.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, StockStory analysts will monitor (1) the pace of backlog conversion into revenue, especially within Specialty Services as organic growth is forecasted to return; (2) the effectiveness of tariff mitigation strategies and the company’s ability to maintain or expand margins despite material cost volatility; and (3) the contribution of recent and future bolt-on acquisitions, particularly the initial results from the elevator service platform. The rollout of new systems and technology investments will also be a focus, as management views these as important for long-term scalability.
APi currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20.8×. At this valuation, is it a buy or sell post earnings? Find out in our free research report.
Stocks That Overcame Trump’s 2018 Tariffs
Market indices reached historic highs following Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November 2024, but the outlook for 2025 is clouded by new trade policies that could impact business confidence and growth.
While this has caused many investors to adopt a "fearful" wait-and-see approach, we’re leaning into our best ideas that can grow regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate. Take advantage of Mr. Market by checking out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 176% over the last five years.
Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.
