E.B. Capital Markets' Q1 Seasonality Spreadsheet

Click Here for access to our Q1 2014 seasonality excel database:   68 companies (see below) entered October having robust seasonality for Q4 (posting positive returns in 9 or 10 of the past 10 Q4's).  61 gained ground in the quarter.  Of the 68, the average return was 11.55% (as of mid-day December 31st). I've also broke out the best seasonality plays across all market caps at the end of this email. Best wishes for a happy, safe, and productive 2014. -Todd Todd Campbell E.B. Capital Markets, LLC   Here are the 68 from Q4 and how they performed (scroll to the bottom for the Q1 picks):   Q4 2013 9/30/2013 12/31/2013   X 20.55 29.36 42.87% AAP 82.63 110.9 34.21% HZO 12.2 16.05 31.56% UHAL 184.13 236.55 28.47% CLF 20.39 26.11 28.05% GPN 51.06 64.8 26.91% TCBK 22.69 28.48 25.52% RCL 38.06 47.2 24.01% KFY 21.4 26.27 22.76% HP 68.5 83.91 22.50% CVCO 56.95 68.93 21.04% WLT 14.02 16.75 19.47% MTW 19.48 23.27 19.46% AYI 91.9 109.53 19.18% BEAV 73.82 86.58 17.29% ALK 62.46 73.16 17.13% BLK 269.14 315.15 17.10% BMI 46.34 54.23 17.03% NTCT 25.53 29.62 16.02% CLC 55.36 64.22 16.00% PRE 90.97 105.18 15.62% APH 77.2 89.22 15.57% HTHIY.PK 66.35 76.44 15.21% JOY 50.88 58.5 14.98% BLL 44.76 51.44 14.92% PCLN 1010.95 1154.32 14.18% CHH 43 49.03 14.02% LII 74.81 85.29 14.01% FFIN 58.61 66.26 13.05% KSU 109.17 123.1 12.76% PII 128.78 145.13 12.70% DE 80.93 91.16 12.64% MON 103.94 116.14 11.74% HCSG 25.6 28.48 11.25% DHR 69.3 76.93 11.01% EV 38.63 42.73 10.61% WLP 83.27 91.98 10.46% NUE 48.68 53.38 9.65% WM 40.91 44.77 9.44% FCN 37.8 41.22 9.05% EMR 64.28 69.97 8.85% ACI 4.08 4.43 8.58% NKE 72.41 78.5 8.41% UNP 154.59 167.52 8.36% AFL 61.65 66.63 8.08% TRV 84.29 90.46 7.32% FHN 10.94 11.68 6.76% MD 50.2 53.26 6.10% JBHT 72.78 77.1 5.94% PBCT 14.22 15.06 5.91% CMP 75.69 80 5.69% HMSY 21.49 22.67 5.49% TRP 43.53 45.81 5.24% UNH 71.34 75 5.13% APD 106.57 111.49 4.62% COST 114.88 118.85 3.46% AIR 27.26 27.92 2.42% MCD 95.42 96.77 1.41% NDSN 73.45 74.35 1.23% MTD 240.09 242.59 1.04% SHW 181.69 183.04 0.74% CHRW 59.22 58.24 -1.65% BMRN 72.17 70.11 -2.85% MWV 38.1 36.64 -3.83% ASML 98.76 93.68 -5.14% VTR 60.71 57.35 -5.53% BBD 13.68 12.53 -8.41% LPHI 2.14 1.77 -17.29% SPY 167.1 184.07 10.16%   How to use the Q1 Seasonality Database:   Helpful tips: The data is broken out in tabs along the bottom (e.g. ETFs, Universe, etc).  Simply click on each tab to display the data. The far left tab is our "Search" tab.  Enter stock symbols to compare against each other, or compare against benchmark ETFs. Within other tabs, pressing the control key and F key at the same time activates excel's search feature. Use the "Data" ribbon in excel (along the top row of functions) to sort by sector, industry, etc. The "filter" feature in data also provides you with sort options.   Here are the BEST seasonal plays for Q1 2014:         SPY 7 1.99% -2.03% 4.69% 0.66% -9.29% -11.25% 5.43% 5.90% 12.69% 10.51% 1.93% 3.34% 7.76% 1.00 Symbol SECTOR INDUSTRY % Profit- Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1         (of 10) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Average Median Std Dev Correl BKE SERVICES APPAREL STORES 100% 10 31.27% 18.81% 27.69% 5.69% 36.51% 47.63% 26.32% 7.53% 17.76% 4.52% 22.37% 22.56% 14.19% -0.70 BWLD SERVICES RESTAURANTS 100% 10 10.59% 8.67% 25.24% 19.74% 5.51% 42.61% 19.47% 24.13% 34.34% 20.20% 21.05% 19.97% 11.44% 0.12 DRI SERVICES RESTAURANTS 100% 10 17.80% 10.59% 5.54% 2.55% 18.34% 22.41% 27.92% 6.52% 13.30% 15.91% 14.09% 14.61% 7.97% -0.23 PCLN TECHNOLOGY INTERNET SERVICE PROVIDERS 100% 10 50.61% 6.82% 11.29% 22.13% 5.22% 6.97% 16.75% 26.75% 53.41% 10.92% 21.09% 14.02% 17.71% 0.54 PRXL SERVICES RESEARCH SERVICES 100% 10 10.09% 15.76% 30.50% 24.24% 8.07% 0.21% 65.32% 17.29% 30.04% 33.63% 23.51% 20.76% 18.27% 0.63 RGC SERVICES MOVIE PRODUCTION, THEATERS 100% 10 8.08% 2.95% 0.50% 4.14% 8.38% 33.80% 23.16% 16.65% 15.68% 21.09% 13.44% 12.03% 10.55% -0.08 ROST SERVICES APPAREL STORES 100% 10 15.86% 1.13% 1.20% 17.67% 17.54% 21.13% 25.64% 12.79% 22.57% 12.40% 14.79% 16.70% 8.28% -0.01 RS INDUSTRIAL GOODS METAL FABRICATION 100% 10 6.05% 2.87% 53.86% 23.13% 10.64% 32.61% 14.15% 13.33% 16.32% 15.12% 18.81% 14.63% 14.88% -0.03 SHLD SERVICES DEPARTMENT STORES 100% 10 73.19% 34.58% 14.11% 7.28% 0.04% 17.60% 29.93% 12.07% 108.46% 20.82% 31.81% 19.21% 33.73% 0.49 VFC CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 100% 10 8.62% 7.27% 3.38% 1.36% 13.73% 5.56% 10.29% 15.09% 15.52% 11.70% 9.25% 9.46% 4.89% 0.34 ACIW TECHNOLOGY TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE 90% 9 3.91% 16.62% 8.41% -0.55% 4.62% 17.92% 20.17% 22.07% 40.61% 11.83% 14.56% 14.23% 11.87% 0.44 AME INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT 90% 9 6.54% 12.95% 5.81% 8.68% -6.11% 3.68% 8.53% 11.91% 15.39% 15.59% 8.30% 8.60% 6.47% 0.78 ARO SERVICES APPAREL STORES 90% 9 32.27% 11.31% 14.63% 30.32% 2.26% 65.05% 27.00% -1.30% 41.77% 4.53% 22.79% 20.82% 20.67% -0.24 ARW SERVICES ELECTRONICS WHOLESALE 90% 9 10.03% 4.32% 0.75% 19.65% -14.33% 1.17% 1.76% 22.28% 12.19% 6.67% 6.45% 5.50% 10.49% 0.53 ASTE INDUSTRIAL GOODS FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY 90% 9 30.96% 28.06% 9.94% 14.68% 4.21% -16.28% 7.51% 15.07% 13.28% 4.70% 11.21% 11.61% 13.20% 0.36 AXE SERVICES ELECTRONICS WHOLESALE 90% 9 15.11% 0.44% 22.12% 21.45% 2.85% 5.17% -0.53% 17.02% 21.61% 9.28% 11.45% 12.20% 9.09% 0.49 BIG SERVICES DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES 90% 9 2.04% -0.91% 16.24% 36.47% 39.46% 43.41% 25.67% 42.58% 13.93% 23.93% 24.28% 24.80% 16.27% -0.35 BLL CONSUMER GOODS PACKAGING & CONTAINERS 90% 9 14.05% -5.45% 10.60% 5.39% 2.28% 4.60% 3.43% 5.47% 20.36% 6.63% 6.74% 5.43% 7.00% 0.55 BONT SERVICES DEPARTMENT STORES 90% 9 39.22% 15.01% 69.17% 62.29% -42.41% 74.47% 36.04% 22.47% 178.33% 6.95% 46.15% 37.63% 57.85% 0.43 BPO FINANCIALS PROPERTY MANAGEMENT 90% 9 8.97% 3.33% 16.76% 2.90% 1.05% -23.67% 28.05% 1.92% 12.42% 1.85% 5.36% 3.12% 13.35% 0.63 BRKR TECHNOLOGY SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS 90% 9 10.11% -12.66% 11.11% 40.08% 15.71% 52.48% 21.48% 25.60% 23.27% 25.33% 21.25% 22.37% 17.56% -0.16 CHD CONSUMER GOODS CLEANING PRODUCTS 90% 9 9.55% 5.68% 11.95% 18.28% 0.48% -6.79% 10.99% 15.46% 8.04% 21.21% 9.49% 10.27% 8.31% 0.76 CI HEALTHCARE HEALTH CARE PLANS 90% 9 3.24% 9.47% 16.97% 8.46% -24.42% 4.72% 3.84% 20.89% 17.39% 16.75% 7.73% 8.97% 12.97% 0.70 CL CONSUMER GOODS PERSONAL PRODUCTS 90% 9 10.59% 2.45% 4.68% 2.88% 0.41% -13.40% 4.36% 1.17% 6.52% 13.55% 3.32% 3.62% 7.18% 0.75 CLB BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 90% 9 27.01% 9.93% 27.28% 3.49% -4.33% 22.41% 10.83% 15.05% 15.74% 26.53% 15.39% 15.40% 10.70% 0.38 CMP BASIC MATERIALS SYNTHETICS 90% 9 16.10% 6.20% 3.08% 6.82% 44.68% -3.27% 20.04% 5.29% 4.90% 6.40% 11.02% 6.30% 13.50% -0.30 COHR TECHNOLOGY SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS 90% 9 10.47% 10.91% 18.31% 0.55% 11.24% -19.61% 7.49% 28.71% 11.59% 12.07% 9.17% 11.07% 12.45% 0.58 COO HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 90% 9 14.58% 3.28% 5.31% 9.25% -9.38% 61.51% 2.05% 23.34% 15.92% 16.68% 14.25% 11.91% 19.02% -0.23 DKS SERVICES SPORTING GOODS 90% 9 19.53% 4.51% 19.37% 18.93% -3.56% 1.17% 4.96% 6.61% 30.75% 4.24% 10.65% 5.78% 10.79% 0.60 DNR BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 90% 9 21.26% 28.43% 39.07% 7.19% -4.03% 36.08% 13.99% 27.82% 20.73% 15.12% 20.57% 21.00% 13.14% 0.08 DPZ SERVICES FOOD WHOLESALE 100% 9   5.66% 18.47% 16.01% 1.98% 39.03% 62.73% 15.56% 15.52% 18.60% 21.51% 16.01% 18.57% 0.07 EAT SERVICES RESTAURANTS 90% 9 14.42% 3.29% 9.54% 8.74% -4.55% 44.86% 29.94% 21.81% 3.56% 22.21% 15.38% 11.98% 14.65% -0.11 EMN BASIC MATERIALS CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 90% 9 9.16% 2.95% 0.10% 7.59% 2.89% -13.68% 6.47% 18.73% 33.00% 3.10% 7.03% 4.78% 12.21% 0.71 ESV BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 90% 9 3.79% 18.76% 16.08% 8.74% 5.09% -6.93% 12.17% 9.03% 13.58% 2.09% 8.24% 8.89% 7.56% 0.45 FL SERVICES APPAREL STORES 90% 9 10.30% 9.10% 1.66% 7.96% -12.65% 45.38% 36.72% 1.31% 31.09% 7.19% 13.81% 8.53% 18.06% 0.03 FLS INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 90% 9 0.31% -6.10% 47.47% 13.65% 8.80% 9.54% 16.99% 8.32% 16.68% 14.54% 13.02% 11.59% 14.13% 0.31 FTI BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 90% 9 15.91% 3.01% 19.33% 13.19% 0.33% 31.74% 11.72% 6.25% -3.47% 26.99% 12.50% 12.46% 11.41% -0.17 GES SERVICES APPAREL STORES 90% 9 49.29% 9.22% 9.88% 27.85% 7.03% 38.05% 11.44% -16.44% 5.47% 1.20% 14.30% 9.55% 19.07% -0.43 GLW TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 90% 9 7.28% -5.42% 36.91% 21.58% 0.41% 39.84% 4.91% 6.98% 9.05% 6.43% 12.80% 7.13% 15.12% -0.22 HES BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING 90% 9 23.35% 17.15% 12.52% 12.14% -12.48% 1.21% 3.57% 11.47% 3.95% 35.39% 10.83% 11.80% 13.08% 0.53 HOLX HEALTHCARE MEDI CAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 90% 9 17.40% 16.01% 45.94% 21.91% -19.00% 0.15% 27.86% 17.96% 23.07% 12.94% 16.43% 17.68% 17.03% 0.65 HSIC SERVICES MEDICAL EQUIPMENT WHOLESALE 90% 9 5.50% 2.93% 9.67% 12.66% -6.51% 8.99% 11.98% 14.30% 17.46% 15.08% 9.21% 10.82% 7.06% 0.75 HUBG SERVICES AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES 90% 9 38.66% 19.98% 28.98% 5.23% 23.74% -35.92% 4.44% 2.99% 11.10% 14.46% 11.37% 12.78% 20.23% 0.34 JAH CONSUMER GOODS HOUSEWARES & ACCESSORIES 90% 9 29.84% 5.59% 8.94% 10.10% -7.90% 10.19% 7.93% 15.52% 34.64% 24.31% 13.92% 10.14% 12.60% 0.70 JLL FINANCIALS PROPERTY MANAGEMENT 90% 9 24.06% 24.70% 52.00% 13.14% 8.70% -16.00% 20.69% 18.85% 36.00% 18.42% 20.06% 19.77% 17.62% 0.68 JWN SERVICES APPAREL STORES 90% 9 16.63% 18.78% 5.03% 7.54% -10.88% 27.37% 9.18% 6.46% 12.65% 3.80% 9.66% 8.36% 10.26% -0.11 MW SERVICES APPAREL STORES 90% 9 6.26% 32.12% 22.22% 23.12% -13.48% 12.38% 14.12% 8.78% 20.19% 7.81% 13.35% 13.25% 12.46% 0.30 NBL BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 90% 9 6.13% 10.41% 9.10% 21.72% -8.31% 9.84% 2.73% 12.51% 3.81% 13.92% 8.19% 9.47% 7.95% 0.25 NE  BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 90% 9 7.32% 13.05% 15.02% 3.37% -12.02% 9.21% 2.87% 28.00% 24.46% 9.92% 10.12% 9.57% 11.33% 0.59 OII BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 90% 9 8.66% 0.55% 15.12% 6.11% -6.44% 26.46% 8.51% 21.48% 17.15% 23.83% 12.14% 11.89% 10.56% 0.35 PNRA SERVICES SPECIALTY EATERIES 90% 9 -1.54% 40.20% 14.46% 5.63% 16.95% 7.01% 14.27% 25.48% 13.76% 4.04% 14.03% 14.02% 11.96% -0.09 PRCP TECHNOLOGY SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS 90% 9 -4.48% 8.16% 20.45% 6.16% 19.24% 4.39% 31.94% 28.45% 22.82% 22.32% 15.94% 19.84% 11.73% 0.49 PRGO HEALTHCARE DRUG RELATED PRODUCTS 90% 9 27.75% 11.16% 9.69% 2.34% 7.92% -22.95% 47.63% 25.68% 6.27% 14.23% 12.97% 10.42% 18.47% 0.51 PXD BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 90% 9 1.49% 22.01% -13.46% 8.96% 0.87% 1.99% 17.00% 17.44% 24.76% 16.60% 9.77% 12.78% 11.93% 0.44 PZZA SERVICES RESTAURANTS 90% 9 1.14% 0.81% 10.62% 1.34% 6.65% 24.09% 10.06% 14.33% -0.05% 12.54% 8.15% 8.36% 7.75% -0.31 RCII SERVICES RENTAL & LEASING SERVICES 90% 9 9.86% 3.07% 35.52% -5.19% 26.35% 9.76% 33.45% 8.34% 2.04% 7.51% 13.07% 9.05% 13.85% -0.10 RIG BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 90% 9 16.17% 21.42% 15.23% 1.01% -5.55% 24.52% 4.32% 12.15% 44.83% 16.36% 15.05% 15.70% 14.00% 0.39 SKX CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 90% 9 60.86% 19.44% 62.73% 0.78% 3.59% -47.97% 23.50% 2.70% 4.95% 14.32% 14.49% 9.64% 31.66% 0.43 SPW INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 90% 9 -22.24% 8.05% 17.29% 15.19% 2.25% 16.55% 21.73% 11.41% 29.05% 12.91% 11.22% 14.05% 13.83% 0.31 TSO BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING 90% 9 28.93% 16.23% 11.20% 52.86% -36.95% 2.99% 2.54% 44.72% 14.93% 33.42% 17.09% 15.58% 25.43% 0.51 TTWO TECHNOLOGY MULTIMEDIA & GRAPHICS SOFTWARE 90% 9 27.69% 12.42% 5.42% 13.40% 38.32% 10.45% -1.79% 25.26% 13.58% 46.68% 19.14% 13.49% 15.09% 0.02 UHS HEALTHCARE HOSPITALS 90% 9 -14.11% 17.95% 8.82% 3.47% 5.02% 2.23% 15.23% 13.93% 7.98% 32.21% 9.27% 8.40% 12.06% 0.40 XEC BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 90% 9 8.29% 2.89% 0.66% 1.54% 28.87% -31.22% 12.24% 30.27% 22.11% 30.92% 10.66% 10.26% 19.04% 0.56